Tropical Storm Nicholas is currently churning in the Caribbean Sea and is forecast to become a Category Three hurricane by Thursday morning. The storm will remain a major hurricane until the weekend.
However, it’s track remains uncertain. Some scientists believe that it could become a long-track Cape Verde-type hurricane, while others believe that it will be a slow-moving system.
Strong model support for development
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Long-track Cape Verde-type hurricane
On Monday night, Hurricane Nicholas, an extended-track Cape Verde-type hurricane of the Cape Verde type, will make landfall in Texas.
Heavy rain and storm surges are expected to hit the Gulf Coast. Coastal Texas, Louisiana and Mississippi could see rainfall amounts of 8-16 inches.
As Tropical Storm Nicholas moves towards land, it is gradually becoming less severe.
Storm surges from the storm winds and heavy rains will bring moderate flooding to parts of the coast.
It is possible for the storm to accelerate to 7-10mph forward once it reaches landfall.
For days, Tropical Storm Nicholas has brought heavy rain to parts of the country. Some coastal areas of Florida and Louisiana will experience rainfall amounts of 3-6 inches.
Galveston Bay is likely to see a storm surge of up to 1.5 meters
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Flood threats to Texas, Louisiana coasts
Hurricane Nicholas is forecast to drop heavy rain and bring tropical storm-force winds through the week in Texas and Louisiana.
It could cause flash flooding that can threaten lives in cities. It will also bring storm surges that could wreak havoc on the coast.
National Hurricane Center has declared a hurricane watch for the Lower Texas Gulf Coast and Louisiana.
For all areas of Texas including Houston, Corpus Christi and others, flash flood watches have been put into effect. For parts of southern Louisiana, there are flash flood warnings.
Already, rain bands have been pounding Louisiana and Texas coasts. Some heavy rain could move over the southern Mississippi and southeast Louisiana coasts, potentially causing severe flooding.
The ocean will be pushed inland by the shore winds, which could lead to dangerous flooding and rip currents. National Weather Service predicts that certain areas may receive up to 20 inches of precipitation.
The Amorphous
An amorphous storm named Nicholas is creating quite a disturbance along Texas’ Gulf coast. Since Friday midday, some havoc has been caused by the amorphous.
A fair amount of rainfall is being brought to the coast by this hurricane’s powerful mostly.
The system won’t get any worse. However, it is still a tropical storm. Keep an eye out for storms if your property is in Port Arthur, Texas. This is a tropical storm force wind of 75 mph.
Problem number one is that the storm mentioned is far too south for it to be managed successfully or to an acceptable extent.
By Wednesday midday, the amorphous will be well anchored above Texas’ gulf coast. It’s going to be a bumpy ride.
Potential for tornadoes
It is very concerning to think about the possibility of tornadoes from tropical storm Nicholas. It is still a tropical storm but could strengthen into a tropical depression tonight.
In addition, a strong upper-level wind shear is present. Supercellular storm structure development is influenced by wind shear.
Sometimes, tropical cyclones make landfall which causes tornadoes. While the risk of tornadoes in a tropical hurricane can persist for many days after it makes landfall, its intensity is highest on the day it actually does.
The coast is where most tornadoes are. A smaller percentage occurs inland.
It is important to consider the length and width of the tornado’s path in order to determine the intensity.
